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Overview
Probability is a branch of mathematics that deals with calculating the likelihood of a given event's occurrence, which is expressed as a number between 0 and 1. In this chapter, we explore the foundational concepts of probability, including experiments, outcomes, events, and theoretical vs. experimental probability, as per the CBSE Grade 10 syllabus.
Key Concepts
Basic Terms
- Experiment: An action that results in one or more outcomes (e.g., rolling a die).
- Outcome: A possible result of an experiment (e.g., getting a 4 on a die).
- Sample Space (S): The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment.
- Event: A subset of the sample space (e.g., getting an even number when rolling a die).
Types of Probability
Theoretical Probability: The ratio of the number of favorable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes, assuming all outcomes are equally likely. Mathematically, P(E) = Number of favorable outcomes / Total number of outcomes.
Experimental Probability: The probability calculated based on actual experiments or observations. It is given by P(E) = Number of trials where the event occurred / Total number of trials.
Probability of Complementary Events
For an event E, the complementary event is denoted as E' (not E). The probability of the complementary event is given by:
P(E') = 1 - P(E)
Applications
Probability is widely used in real-life scenarios such as weather forecasting, sports strategies, and risk assessment in finance.
Examples
Example 1: Theoretical Probability
A bag contains 3 red and 5 blue balls. What is the probability of drawing a red ball?
Solution: P(Red) = Number of red balls / Total balls = 3/8.
Example 2: Experimental Probability
In 50 tosses of a coin, heads appeared 28 times. Find the experimental probability of getting heads.
Solution: P(Heads) = 28/50 = 14/25.
Important Formulas
- Probability of an event E: P(E) = n(E)/n(S)
- Probability of complementary event: P(E') = 1 - P(E)